Macro Calendar Risk

RADAR

Calendar-based risk scoring based on proximity to FOMC meetings and CPI releases. No surprises — every date is known in advance.

0
Neutral
2026-10-09 · Score range 0 to −6
FOMC in 19dCPI in 5d

How RADAR scores

−2

Fed Blackout Period

Fed goes silent 10 days before a meeting

−3

FOMC within 3 days

Highest volatility window around decisions

−2

FOMC within 7 days

Pre-meeting caution zone

−1

FOMC within 14 days

Mild elevated risk

−3

CPI within 3 days

Inflation print = high volatility

−2

CPI within 7 days

Pre-CPI positioning noise

Penalties stack. A day close to both an FOMC and CPI event can score as low as −6. Scores above 0 are clamped to 0 — RADAR only measures downside risk.

Upcoming events

CPI2026-10-14
4d away
FOMC2026-10-28
18d away
CPI2026-11-12
33d away
FOMC2026-12-09
60d away
CPI2026-12-09
60d away

Last 30 days

2026-08-312026-10-09
Clear (0)Caution (−1 to −2)Event Risk (−3 to −4)High Risk (−5 to −6)

How RADAR fits with COMPASS

COMPASS measures market risk appetite (macro signals, momentum, credit spreads). RADAR measures calendar risk — it tells you when uncertainty is scheduled, not whether the market is bullish or bearish.

A COMPASS score of +4 on an FOMC day is still a +4 — the macro is constructive. RADAR adds context: "proceed, but know there's a scheduled volatility event today."Use RADAR to size down or wait for confirmation, not to flip direction.

For Agents

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